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2015 USC Football: USC vs Arizona Advanced Stats preview

Homecoming battle with the Wildcats

Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

Numbers courtesy of Bill Connelly and make sure you keep the glossary open.

USC Offense vs Arizona Defense

USC Offense Arizona Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Overall Explosiveness IsoPPP 1.37 21 1.29 79
Efficiency Success Rate 46.4% 25 44.8% 94
Field Position Avg. FP 28.4 100 28.8 51
Finishing Drives Pts per trip in 40 5.44 18 5.31 112
Rushing Rushing S&P+ 121 20 105.3 56
Rushing Success Rate 46.1% 35 43.2% 72
Rushing IsoPPP 1.11 47 0.92 14
Passing Passing S&P+ 131.8 6 73.1 128
Passing Success Rate 46.7% 19 46.4% 110
Passing IsoPPP 1.6 37 1.62 108
Standard Downs Standard Downs S&P+ 117.7 21 93.6 92
Standard Downs Success Rate 51.0% 31 50.0% 93
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.14 48 1.02 38
Passing Downs Passing Downs S&P+ 139.7 9 74.7 125
Passing Downs Success Rate 33.3% 41 33.5% 95
Passing Downs IsoPPP 2.31 3 2.17 125
Havoc Rate 12.6% 115

Arizona Offense vs USC Defense

Arizona Offense USC Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Overall Explosiveness IsoPPP 1.29 51 1.21 53
Efficiency Success Rate 46.0% 30 41.9% 70
Field Position Avg. FP 28.6 97 27 21
Finishing Drives Pts per trip in 40 5.35 24 3.84 17
Rushing Rushing S&P+ 114.3 33 111.4 38
Rushing Success Rate 48.6% 16 43.1% 71
Rushing IsoPPP 1.15 37 1.02 52
Passing Passing S&P+ 104.6 62 110.7 40
Passing Success Rate 43.6% 42 41% 70
Passing IsoPPP 1.43 77 1.43 58
Standard Downs Standard Downs S&P+ 102 68 112.6 35
Stadard Downs Success Rate 49.2% 43 46.4% 65
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.07 77 1.1 72
Passing Downs Passing Downs S&P+ 131.7 14 108.7 49
Passing Downs Success Rate 37.0% 15 31.7% 84
Passing Downs IsoPPP 2.09 14 1.59 31
Havoc Rate 14.0% 99

Arizona is still doing its typical things well like running the ball ball efficiently however it's defense is a complete mess. USC should have no problem offensively tonight. The question is whether or not Juju Smith-Schuster starts or even plays tonight and if he doesn't which wideout will step up to be Cody Kessler's main target.

It's pretty difficult to tie individual players and subsequent injuries to stats like this however I think it's fair to say the loss of Scooby Wright for most of the season has had a significant effect on Arizona's havoc rate. The USC defense has been successful in forcing turnovers the last couple games and it might be a philosophical change with Clay Helton at the helm. I think USC wins this game pretty easily given all the injuries for Arizona listed below. My score prediction is 34-13 USC which is right in between S&P+ and Vegas at -19.