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USC Football 2015: Trojans vs Notre Dame Advanced Stats preview

Trojans still somehow favored

Harry How/Getty Images

I'm sure all USC fans are as excited as I am that football is going to be played again on Saturday. Again all hail Bill Connelly and keep the glossary open when you have questions

USC Offense vs ND Defense

USC Offense ND Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Overall Explosiveness IsoPPP 1.38 21 1.39 105
Efficiency Success Rate 50.7% 4 35.4% 31
Field Position Avg. FP 27.9 104 26.8 24
Finishing Drives Pts per trip in 40 6.03 4 3.97 30
Rushing Rushing S&P+ 141.7 3 104.6 55
Rushing Success Rate 57.0% 2 38.5% 47
Rushing IsoPPP 1.08 53 1.27 116
Passing Passing S&P+ 136.3 8 143.1 10
Passing Success Rate 45.6% 29 30.7% 16
Passing IsoPPP 1.68 21 1.5 99
Standard Downs Standard Downs S&P+ 151.2 1 105.6 47
Stadard Downs Success Rate 59.6% 2 44.7% 56
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.17 37 1.25 106
Passing Downs Passing Downs S&P+ 122 34 176 4
Passing Downs Success Rate 28.1% 84 17.0% 2
Passing Downs IsoPPP 2.53 3 2.11

115

ND offense vs USC Defense

ND Offense USC Defense
Category Avg. Rk Avg. Rk
Overall Explosiveness IsoPPP 1.37 24 1.22 60
Efficiency Success Rate 48.1% 22 38.3% 48
Field Position Avg. FP 30 65 26.9 26
Finishing Drives Pts per trip in 40 5.16 41 3.11 8
Rushing Rushing S&P+ 139.3 4 106.1 53
Rushing Success Rate 48.1% 25 40.5% 56
Rushing IsoPPP 1.25 13 1.05 65
Passing Passing S&P+ 122.6 19 112.8 36
Passing Success Rate 48% 15 36% 35
Passing IsoPPP 1.5 58 1.44 64
Standard Downs Standard Downs S&P+ 120 23 116.4 28
Stadard Downs Success Rate 51.2% 34 42.6% 45
Standard Downs IsoPPP 1.1 62 1.12 81
Passing Downs Passing Downs S&P+ 141.8 9 94.8 83
Passing Downs Success Rate 40.6% 8 30.4% 77
Passing Downs IsoPPP 2.2 13 1.49 19

The numbers favor the Trojans? I guess so as they're favored by 2.4 points. This game has the potential to be a shoot out as these teams are almost looking in the mirror when they see the opponent. For the Trojans to have any hope of winning they have to rely on their run game as that appears to be Notre Dames biggest weakness defensively. Hopefully new HC Clay Helton learns from his reluctance against Washington last week and feeds his stable of RBs the ball. Given how woefully my predictions turned out last week, I am reluctant to say USC wins this game given the turmoil of this past week. I'm going to go with Vegas, (sorry Bill) and say ND wins this game 38-30.