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CFB Compu-Picks Ratings, Week Fourteen

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... 4) League ratings have been a fairly popular source of comments, so let's talk about them again. The popular perception (as shown by a CBS columnist here), is that the Pac-10 is somehow "down". The basic reasoning is that the overall records aren't outstanding (the league's OOC was close to .500), and that the league is VERY top heavy (Oregon and Stanford have basically dominated the league). This is, of course, silly. As shown in the above tables, the Pac-10 has the BEST record nationwide against other AQ leagues. Moreover, of all the AQ leagues, they're the one which has played by far the toughest slate. They're the only AQ league which has played a majority of its 1-A games on the road; they've played the fewest by far games againt the bottom 40 teams (as rated by compu-picks). They've played precisely ONE game against the Mac and Sun Belt combined; as a contrast, the Big Ten has lost more games to those two leagues (both double-digit HOME losses to the MAC) than the Pac-10 has games against them. In fact, if you break down the OOC records by groupings of 20 (as in the above table), the only leagues that show comparable results to the Pac-10 are the SEC and Big 12, and that's before you factor in home-field advantage. It's also worth noting that the Pac-10 is one of the only leagues without a AA loss; while the model doesn't factor in those games, as humans we can do so, and it's another point in the league's favor. Focusing on the bottom 40 for a bit, the Pac-10 doesn't have any bottom 40 OOC losses (only the Big 12 and Big Ten can say the same), and had only one game with less than a 7 point win against that group (USC's win over Virginia), as opposed to the SEC's two close calls against UAB; the Big Ten's close calls against Ark St, CMU, and Vandy; the Big 12's close call against Troy; the ACC's close call against Rutgers; and the Big East's close calls against Marshall and FIU. Basically, the unfortunate truth is that the BCS rewards easy schedules and punishes tough ones. When a league as a whole "gimmicks up" its record (overwhelming number of home games, majority of OOC games against bad competition), it gets rewarded. When the Big Ten schedules a ridiculous 17 games against the MAC/Sun Belt (not to mention the AA games), and actually LOSES two of them, it gets rewarded for it. When the Pac-10 has nine league games, a brutal OOC slate, has an outstanding 10-5 record against other AQ's, and has a near-total lack of "bad losses" (the worst was Wazzu at SMU, hardly a MAC-level loss), it gets punished for it with the silly perception that it's "down". The inescapable conclusion is that there is NOTHING that the league could have done to be perceived as excellent this year given the schedules it had to face. ... USC isn't eligible to be ranked by the BCS. If they were eligible, they'd very possibly be ranked. Five losses is never fun, but they've had a tough schedule, they've beaten a top 25 Arizona team and a nearly top 25 Hawaii team, both on the road, and two of their losses have come to elite Oregon and Stanford teams (the Stanford loss was a nail-biter as well).

Tyron Smith, Jurrell Casey both '50-50' on NFL

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If they are both projected first round pick then they have to go... If not they need to stay.

A disturbing trend. It seems like there is a trend that I am not aware of that is gaining more and...

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A disturbing trend. It seems like there is a trend that I am not aware of that is gaining more and more followers. It is people showing up to tailgate a football game that have no intention of attending the game. These fans, come more for the free flowing booze and tailgate party scene than the football game. Yesterday the stabbing that occurred at the Rose Bowl happened about 20 feet away from me. The cops were on top of it pretty quickly, and everyone in the area got to breathe in a little pepper spray. But what was most interesting is that most of the people involved in the fight were not alumni of either school, or game ticket holders. Some probably came to look for a fight. I have some pictures that I took of the aftermath, that I will post later, but they aren't too exciting.

USC 28, UCLA 14 - Allen Bradford Post-Game (via USCAthletics) What a way to go out for AB! I am...

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USC 28, UCLA 14 - Allen Bradford Post-Game (via USCAthletics) What a way to go out for AB! I am really stoked for him and hope he has a fruitful NFL career...he will be drafted.

While comparisons may be human nature, they should at least be made based on the facts.

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While comparisons may be human nature, they should at least be made based on the facts. NCAA Priceless... You mean like how the COI makes its rulings based on facts? Not on hearsay or a cobbled together story or the word of known felon convicted of perjury? Not on rumor or innuendo? I feel a whole a lot better knowing the NCAA cleared that up, don't you?
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