First off, congratulations to the guys on doing enough against UCLA, on another PAC 10 championship, on an incredible run of BCS games.
I'll be there in Pasadena, cheering and having a few adult beverages. But, that said, can anyone get up for these BCS bowl match-ups.
With that settled the rest of the bowl games fall into place. If LSU doesn't jump Ohio State, then the Rose Bowl will get the absolute first pick. They can't pass on an Illinois team for a better team. I'd be absolutely shocked if they did it.
The automatic bids are going to be: Ohio State (#1, Big Ten Champ), LSU (#2, SEC Champ), Georgia (#3 and not a conference champ), Oklahoma (Big 12 Champ), Virginia Tech (ACC Champ), USC (PAC 10 Champ), West Virginia (Big East Champ), Hawaii (#10 and non-BCS team)
The fight for the final 2 at large spots is going to be amongst: Kansas, Missouri, Arizona State and Illinois.
Florida is out since the SEC already has two teams who will automatically qualify.
None of these teams travels significantly better than any others. Missouri just lost, which lowers there travel power and thus their luster to any of the bowl selection committees. The Rose Bowl will almost certainly snatch Illinois as a Big Ten team and I imagine, with all else being equal, that the Orange Bowl will simply go with the highest remaining team that doesn't have a bid - Kansas.
National Championship: Ohio State v LSU
Rose Bowl: USC v Illinois
Sugar Bowl: Georgia v Hawaii
Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma v West Virginia
Orange Bowl: Virginia Tech v Kansas
To be honest, these bowl games are a dissappointment. USC is playing an Illinois team they should crush (although our history with mobile QBs makes Juice Williams a semi-interesting matchup). Oklahoma - W Virginia might hold the most interesting matchup. I'd like to see a healthy Slaton and White against that Sooner defense.
But beyond that? What really annoys me is LSU going to the national championship...and against a weak opponent. They even probably have to be the favorites in that matchup. The Tigers winning another national championship would annoy me to no end. sigh Oh well, FO and beat the Illini (or whoever we play in the Rose Bowl).